FAO Food Price Index up slightly in June due to higher meat, dairy & vegetable oil prices | FAO News

Rome – The FAO Food Price Index, a benchmark for world food commodity prices, averaged 128.0 points in June 2025, up 0.5 percent from May. Although international prices of cereals & sugar fell, these declines were outweighed by higher prices for dairy products, meat & vegetable oils.

The index, which tracks monthly changes in the international prices of a set of globally traded food commodities, was, in June 2025, 5.8 percent higher compared to its level a year earlier but remained well below its peak in March 2022.

The FAO Cereal Price Index fell by 1.5 percent in June from the previous month. World maize prices declined sharply for the second month amid abundant supplies from Argentina & Brazil. Prices of sorghum & barley also decreased. Wheat prices, by contrast, increased due to weather-related concerns in parts of the European Union (EU), the Russian Federation & the United States of America (USA). International rice prices dipped slightly, primarily for Indica varieties, reflecting softer demand.

The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index rose by 2.3 percent from May, led by gains in palm, soy & rapeseed oils. International palm oil prices climbed nearly 5 percent on strong global demand. Soy oil prices also rose in June driven by expectations of higher biofuel demand in Brazil & the USA, as well as higher soybean prices in South America amid firm international demand. Rapeseed oil prices also rose amid tight global supply outlooks, while sunflower oil prices eased on improved production prospects in the Black Sea region.

The FAO Meat Price Index increased by 2.1 percent in June, reaching a new all-time high. World prices of bovine, pig & ovine meats all rose, while poultry meat prices continued to fall.

The FAO Dairy Price Index rose by 0.5 percent in June compared to the previous month, with butter prices reaching a new record high amid tight supplies in Oceania & the EU, coupled with continued strong demand from Asia. Cheese prices increased for the third consecutive month, while the prices of skim & whole milk powders declined due to subdued global demand & ample supplies.

The FAO Sugar Price Index was down 5.2 percent from May, marking its fourth consecutive monthly decline & reaching its lowest level since April 2021. The decrease reflects improved production outlooks in Brazil, India & Thailand, where favourable weather & expanded plantings should result in higher outputs.

Global cereal production projected to reach a record high

FAO also released a new Cereal Supply & Demand Brief on Friday, with new insights on crop prospects in 2025/26.

FAO’s latest forecast foresees global cereal production in 2025 to reach an all-time high of 2 925 million tonnes, up 0.5 percent from last month & 2.3 percent above the 2024 level. The upward revision is driven by improved outlooks for wheat, maize & rice. However, forecasts for hot & dry weather in parts of key producing regions may impact yield potential, particularly for maize.

Wheat output is now forecast at 805.3 million tonnes, boosted by higher-than-expected yields in India & Pakistan. Global maize production is also forecast to increase, driven by favourable conditions in Brazil & a larger-than-anticipated planted area in India, offsetting reductions in Ukraine & the EU due to dry weather & reduced planted areas. Global rice production in 2025/26 is anticipated to reach a record level of 555.6 million tonnes (milled basis), buoyed by improved prospects in India, Bangladesh, Pakistan & Viet Nam, & despite expected declines in Iraq & the US.

Global cereal utilization in 2025/26 is forecast at 2 900 million tonnes, up 0.8 percent from 2024/25. Utilization of coarse grains has been revised upward, while the forecasts for wheat use has been slightly lowered. Rice consumption is expected to increase further, spurred by rising food demand & sustained ethanol production in India.

World cereal stocks at the end of the 2025/26 season are forecast to reach 889.1 million tonnes, representing a 2.2 rise from their opening levels. The global cereal stocks-to-use ratio is now expected to rise to 30.3 percent, suggesting a relatively comfortable supply outlook.

Global trade in cereals in 2025/26 is predicted to reach 486.9 million tonnes, up 1.2 percent from 2024/25. Exports of both wheat & rice are forecast to increase, with rice trade reaching an all-time high of 60.8 million tonnes. Maize trade is forecast to decline slightly, while trade in barley & sorghum will likely rise.

The Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS), hosted by FAO, also published its monthly Market Monitor on Friday. In addition to the regular market analysis, the new edition features an article on strategic grain reserves (SGRs) & food security, outlining guiding principles to keep SGRs small, simple & smart.